Modern Macro Technologies
12 August 2026 176 research notes Daily Treasury Statement releases 16:00 ET DTS 16:00 ET

05/12/2026 Market Update

05/12/2026 Market Update

Market Update Preview Inflation continues to heat up, the April CPI came in at 3.8% annual, beating expectations. That matters a lot in this framework, because the model has been telling us late-cycle CPI surprises are the marker that the long chain of price hikes needed to defend balance-sheet expansion is finally working through…

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